{"id":3957,"date":"2026-10-27T18:33:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T10:33:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shoppingguid.com\/?p=3957"},"modified":"2026-10-27T18:33:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T10:33:27","slug":"polymarket-vs-kalshi%ef%bc%9a%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e3%80%8c%e6%a2%97%e5%9b%be%e5%a4%a7%e6%88%98%e3%80%8d%e5%ae%8c%e6%95%b4%e6%97%b6%e9%97%b4%e7%ba%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shoppingguid.com\/?p=3957","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket vs. Kalshi\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u300c\u6897\u56fe\u5927\u6218\u300d\u5b8c\u6574\u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>\u7f16\u8005\u6309\uff1a\u4ece\u514d\u8d39\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\u5230\u4e92\u76f8\u5632\u8bbd\u7684\u6897\u56fe\u5927\u6218\uff0cPolymarket \u4e0e Kalshi \u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u65e9\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\u4e4b\u4e89\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u7cbe\u5fc3\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u672c\u6587\u68b3\u7406\u4e86\u4e24\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0\u6570\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u5bf9\u6297\u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf\uff1a\u76d1\u7ba1\u535a\u5f08\u3001\u7528\u6237\u5c01\u7981\u4e0e\u56de\u5f52\u3001\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0a\u7684\u300c\u7ade\u4e89\u5f0f\u73a9\u6897\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6700\u7ec8\u6ea2\u51fa\u5230\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u8425\u9500\u79c0\u3002\u770b\u4f3c\u8352\u8bde\u7684\u620f\u5267\u5316\u64cd\u4f5c\u80cc\u540e\uff0c\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u3001\u4f30\u503c\u4e0e\u8d44\u672c\u9884\u671f\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u62ac\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e3a\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>2 \u6708 12 \u65e5\u6e05\u6668\uff0c\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\u3002\u4f60\u5728\u4e00\u95f4\u6708\u79df 2000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u50cf\u978b\u76d2\u4e00\u6837\u72ed\u5c0f\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u91cc\u9192\u6765\uff0c\u62e7\u5927\u6696\u6c14\uff0c\u62d6\u7740\u6b65\u5b50\u8d70\u5230\u98df\u54c1\u67dc\u524d\uff0c\u60f3\u770b\u770b\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u51d1\u70b9\u65e9\u9910\u3002\u7136\u540e\u4f60\u60f3\u8d77\u6765\uff1a\u6628\u665a\u51cc\u6668 3 \u70b9\uff0c\u4f60\u5df2\u7ecf\u628a\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5305\u901f\u98df\u62c9\u9762\u70ed\u7740\u5403\u6389\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b63\u5f53\u4f60\u72b9\u8c6b\u8981\u4e0d\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u628a\u6536\u5165\u7684 20% \u8d21\u732e\u7ed9 DoorDash \u65f6\uff0c\u670b\u53cb\u53d1\u6765\u4e00\u6761\u77ed\u4fe1\uff0c\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u8857\u65b0\u5f00\u4e86\u4e00\u5bb6\u53eb\u300cThe Polymarket\u300d\u7684\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\u2014\u2014\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u91cc\u9762\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u5168\u90e8\u514d\u8d39\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\uff0c\u4f60\u7406\u6240\u5f53\u7136\u5730\u7a7f\u4e0a\u88e4\u5b50\uff0c\u6643\u5230\u4e0b\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u6324\u8fdb\u5e97\u91cc\uff0c\u77ac\u95f4\u8fdb\u5165\u300c\u9ed1\u8272\u661f\u671f\u4e94\u91ce\u6027\u626b\u8d27\u300d\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5bf9\u7740\u773c\u524d\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u75af\u72c2\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u628a\u4f60\u90a3\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\u7684\u53cc\u624b\u80fd\u6293\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u7edf\u7edf\u63fd\u8fdb\u6000\u91cc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b49\u4f60\u63d0\u7740\u9f13\u9f13\u56ca\u56ca\u7684\u8d2d\u7269\u888b\u5f80\u5bb6\u8d70\uff0c\u888b\u5b50\u91cc\u585e\u6ee1\u4e86\u9178\u5473\u8f6f\u7cd6 Sour Patch Kids\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4f60\u51e0\u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u78b0\u5230\u7684\u852c\u83dc\uff0c\u6b63\u5939\u5728\u80f3\u818a\u5e95\u4e0b\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u53c8\u8def\u8fc7\u4e00\u5757\u8def\u724c\u5e7f\u544a\uff1a\u4e1c\u6751\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u641e\u6d3b\u52a8\u2014\u2014\u7531\u4e00\u5bb6\u53eb\u300cKalshi\u300d\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u8d5e\u52a9\uff0c\u9001 50 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u514d\u8d39\u6742\u8d27\u989d\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u662f\u5728\u505a\u68a6\u5417\uff1f\u6211\u600e\u4e48\u4f1a\u8fd9\u4e48\u8d70\u8fd0\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u606d\u559c\u4f60\uff0c\u4f60\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u5377\u5165\u4e86\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5e7f\u544a\u6df7\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6ca1\u9519\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u7206\u7ea2\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0 Polymarket \u5ba3\u5e03\u4e86\u5b83\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u8425\u9500\u5671\u5934\uff1a\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u5f00\u4e00\u5bb6\u300c\u5b8c\u5168\u514d\u8d39\u7684\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\u300d\uff0c\u4ece 2 \u6708 12 \u65e5\u4e00\u76f4\u8425\u4e1a\u5230 2 \u6708 16 \u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5b83\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3001\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a Kalshi \u4e5f\u4e0d\u7518\u793a\u5f31\uff0c\u62a2\u5148\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u300c\u6742\u8d27\u4e3b\u9898\u300d\u8425\u9500\u884c\u52a8\uff1a\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u9053\u7684 Westside Market\uff0c\u9650\u65f6\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u5411\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u53d1\u653e 50 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u901a\u7528\u6742\u8d27\u8865\u8d34\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Polymarket\" src=\"https:\/\/hx24-prod.mars-block.com\/image\/news\/2026\/02\/14\/1771049286532446.webp?x-oss-process=image\/quality,q_50\/format,webp\" data-href=\"\" title=\"Polymarket vs. Kalshi\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u300c\u6897\u56fe\u5927\u6218\u300d\u5b8c\u6574\u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf\u63d2\u56fe\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u300c\u4f60\u6765\u6211\u5f80\u300d\u7684\u6a21\u4eff\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5f15\u5f97\u4e00\u4f4d X \u7528\u6237\u5fcd\u4e0d\u4f4f\u5410\u69fd\uff1a\u300cKalshi \u548c Polymarket \u7b80\u76f4\u8fde 24 \u5c0f\u65f6\u90fd\u5fcd\u4e0d\u4e86\uff0c\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u8981\u4e92\u76f8\u6284\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e4d\u4e00\u542c\uff0cPolymarket \u548c Kalshi \u5c45\u7136\u9760\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u9999\u8549\u300d\u6765\u62fc\u8425\u9500\uff0c\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u70b9\u79bb\u8c31\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u53ea\u662f\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u5e73\u53f0\u591a\u5e74\u300c\u8840\u6d77\u6df1\u4ec7\u300d\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u5e55\u3002\u8981\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u6bcf\u5468\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u90fd\u9ad8\u8fbe\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u6a21\u5f0f\u8bf4\u767d\u4e86\u5c31\u662f\uff1a\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u4f3c\u65e0\u4f24\u5927\u96c5\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u535a\u53d6\u6781\u9ad8\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u2014\u2014\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5728\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5c3c\u53e4\u62c9\u65af\u00b7\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u7a7f\u7740\u8fd0\u52a8\u4f11\u95f2\u7761\u8863\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u628a\u4ed6\u6293\u8d70\u3002\uff08\u90a3\u5929\u665a\u4e0a\uff0c\u67d0\u4f4d\u4e0d\u77e5\u540d\u3001\u4f46\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0d\u662f Pete Hegseth \u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u4fa6\u63a2\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u8d5a\u7ffb\u4e86\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u77ed\u77ed\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5386\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0\u59cb\u7ec8\u4e92\u4e3a\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u4f46\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u767d\u70ed\u5316\u5bf9\u6297\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e24\u5e74\u624d\u5168\u9762\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket \u7531 NYU \u8f8d\u5b66\u751f Shayne Coplan \u4e8e 2020 \u5e74\u521b\u7acb\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u4e8e\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\u3002\u4e0b\u6ce8\u8005\u9700\u8981\u5728 Polygon \u533a\u5757\u94fe\u4e0a\u5b58\u5165\u4e0e\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u503c\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01 USDC\uff0c\u6765\u8d2d\u4e70\u300c\u662f\u300d\u6216\u300c\u5426\u300d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4efd\u989d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0cKalshi \u6700\u521d\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u8fd0\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u548c\u8d44\u91d1\u5b58\u53d6\u90fd\u901a\u8fc7\u4f20\u7edf\u94f6\u884c\u8d26\u6237\u5b8c\u6210\u3002\u81ea 2021 \u5e74\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5b83\u4e3b\u8981\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u4f53\u80b2\u535a\u5f69\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e0b\u6ce8\u5360\u5230\u4e86\u5e73\u53f0\u603b\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7684 90%\u3002\u800c Polymarket \u5219\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u6587\u5316\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fd8\u4f1a\u4ed8\u8d39\u8bf7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7f51\u7ea2\u4e3a\u5176\u653f\u6cbb\u7c7b\u5185\u5bb9\u505a\u63a8\u5e7f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece 2022 \u5e74\u5230 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08CFTC\uff09\u7684\u5f3a\u529b\u76d1\u7ba1\u538b\u529b\uff08\u5e76\u88ab\u5904\u4ee5 140 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u7f5a\u6b3e\uff09\uff0cPolymarket \u4e00\u5ea6\u7981\u6b62\u7f8e\u56fd\u7528\u6237\u4f7f\u7528\u5176\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u7b49\u4e8e\u5728\u597d\u51e0\u5e74\u91cc\u628a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u62f1\u624b\u8ba9\u7ed9\u4e86 Kalshi\u3002\u4f46\u5c31\u5728\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\uff0cPolymarket \u91cd\u8fd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u70b9\u71c3\u4e86\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u6fc0\u70c8\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u6469\u64e6\u5728 X \u5e73\u53f0\u4e43\u81f3\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u6f14\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u300c\u5e38\u5e74\u5728\u7ebf\u300d\u7684\u7f51\u6c11\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u6700\u5177\u89c2\u8d4f\u6027\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u300c\u7ade\u4e89\u5f0f\u70c2\u6897\u5927\u6218\uff08competitive shitposting\uff09\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4f53\u80b2\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u6076\u641e\u5f0f\u5730\u6a21\u4eff\u4f53\u80b2\u5b98\u5ba3\u5361\u7247\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u5e38\u5728 ESPN \u6216 FOX Sports \u8d26\u53f7\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5ba3\u5e03\u4ea4\u6613\u3001\u9009\u79c0\u6216\u4f24\u75c5\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u3002\u4e24\u5bb6\u5e73\u53f0\u7528\u535a\u773c\u7403\u7684\u73a9\u7b11\u6807\u9898\u6765\u300c\u64ad\u62a5\u300d\u4f53\u80b2\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 Polymarket \u7684\u300cDICK IS GROWING\u300d\uff0c\u5f71\u5c04\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u731b\u9f99\u961f\u7403\u5458 Gradey Dick \u4f53\u91cd\u589e\u52a0\uff1b\u53c8\u6bd4\u5982 Kalshi \u7684\u300cLOVES RECEIVING BALLS\u300d\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u662f\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71 49 \u4eba\u961f\u8dd1\u536b Christian McCaffrey\uff0c\u8bf4\u4ed6\u300c\u559c\u6b22\u63a5\u7403\u300d\uff0c\u4f60\u4e5f\u61c2\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5b57\u9762\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\u300c\u63a5\u4f20\u7403\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Polymarket\" src=\"https:\/\/hx24-prod.mars-block.com\/image\/news\/2026\/02\/14\/1771049287160152.webp?x-oss-process=image\/quality,q_50\/format,webp\" data-href=\"\" title=\"Polymarket vs. Kalshi\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u300c\u6897\u56fe\u5927\u6218\u300d\u5b8c\u6574\u65f6\u95f4\u7ebf\u63d2\u56fe1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5f53\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u5728\u4e3a\u300c\u6897\u56fe\u5f0f\u5173\u6ce8\u5ea6\u300d\u53ae\u6740\u65f6\uff0c\u6218\u672f\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e0b\u4f5c\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2024 \u5e74 11 \u6708\uff0c\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0cKalshi \u8bd5\u56fe\u5411\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f51\u7ea2\u4ed8\u8d39\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\u524d NFL \u5916\u63a5\u624b\u3001\u73b0 X 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